Wednesday, 10 May 2017

WHERE'S MY NITROGEN? HOW TO MAKE A NITROGEN MAP.

Many growers apply nitrogen in the fall to take advantage of the wide application window. But there are risks with fall application. Applying seven months prior to planting leaves nitrogen vulnerable to loss from rain events and warm winters.

Because nitrates easily move in the soil profile, it is important to map that movement to get a picture of your nitrate availability.

Pulling soil samples before planting, after emergence and prior to the rapid uptake period — v10 — gives you a timeline of N availability. In season sampling is different than the full-spectrum sampling done semi-annually. This is a specific sampling technique designed to find the ammonium and nitrates in the soil profile. Use row profile sampling, taking 10 cores every 3 inches across a 30 inch row to give an average of what that profile contains. This process allows you to find the bands of N from the injector knife or coulter and to see how this band is dispersing through the soil profile.

When you apply NH3, it’s important that your analysis look at nitrate — N03 — and ammonium — NH4 — levels. Ammonium is relatively stable, but converts to nitrate. Nitrate is mobile. Knowing how much of these two forms of nitrogen are in your field will tell you the amount of total N that could be available to the plant and how much of the total N is at risk of movement and loss. As the crop gets closer to silking, N03 levels are all that are necessary since most of your ammonium will be converted to nitrate.

Manage the root zone. Pull one-foot and two-foot cores in each of your management zones. The one-foot sample shows what’s available in the root zone. The two-foot samples show if the nitrogen has moved deep into the profile.

Here is an example. This field had 200 pounds of anhydrous ammonia applied in the fall. Samples were pulled prior to planting in two management zones.BY 360 YIELD CENTER.

USDA DATA SEEN AS NO BIG SHAKEUP FOR FARM MARKETS.

DES MOINES, Iowa — Yes, today’s USDA U.S. old-crop soybean ending stocks estimate is lower than a month ago, but not far enough for investors.

Also, the South Americans keep growing larger crops, putting pressure on the farm markets.
As a result, the Wednesday CME Group’s futures prices jumped briefly then turned mixed, reacting to the USDA May Supply/Demand and WASDE Reports.

At the close, the July corn futures finished 7¼¢ higher at $3.73¾, and December futures ended 6½¢ higher at $3.91½.

July soybean futures closed 3¾¢ lower at $9.70¼; November soybean futures finished ¾¢ lower at $9.66¾. July wheat futures closed 2¼¢ higher at $4.31¾. July soy meal futures finished $0.80 per short ton lower at $317.70. July soy oil futures finished 0.61¢ lower at 32.28¢ per pound. In the outside markets, the Brent crude oil market is $1.39 per barrel higher, the U.S. dollar is higher, and the Dow Jones Industrials are 39 points lower.

U.S. Ending Stocks 2016/2017

In its monthly report, USDA pegged the U.S. 2016/2017 soybean ending stocks at 435 million bushels vs. last month’s estimate of 445 million and the average trade estimate of 438 million.
For corn, the old-crop ending stocks were estimated at 2.29 billion bushels vs. the average trade estimate of 2.32 billion bushels and the USDA’s April estimate of 2.32 billion.

The 2016/2017 U.S. wheat ending stocks estimates came in at 1.15 billion bushels vs. the average trade estimate of 1.16 billion bushels and the government’s April estimate of 1.15 billion bushels.

U.S. Ending Stocks 2017/2018

In its May report Wednesday, USDA pegged the U.S. 2017/2018 soybean ending stocks at 480 million bushels vs. the average trade estimate of 555 million.

For corn, the old-crop ending stocks were estimated at 2.11 billion bushels vs. the average trade estimate of 2.12 billion bushels.

The 2016/2017 U.S. wheat ending stocks estimates came in at 914 billion bushels vs. the average trade estimate of 1.01 billion bushels.

World Crop Production

The USDA/WASDE sees the 2016/2017 soybean production, in Brazil, growing to 111.60 million metric tons, compared with the average trade estimate of 111.3 million metric tons and the USDA’s April estimate of 111.0 mmt.

Brazil’s corn crop is pegged at 96.0 mmt. vs. the average trade estimate of 94.2 mmt. and the USDA’s April estimate of 93.5 mmt.

In its report, USDA/WASDE pegged Argentina’s soybean crop at 57.0 mmt. vs. its estimate last month of 56.0 mmt. and the average trade estimate of 56.1 mmt.

Argentina’s corn crop is pegged at 40 mmt. vs. the average trade estimate of 38.4 mmt. and the USDA’s previous estimate of 38.5 mmt.

Trade Response

Jack Scoville, The PRICE Futures Group’s Senior Market Analyst, says that the soybean market has turned lower, though domestic estimates came in about as expected.

For corn, why USDA is putting exports next year so low must mean that they believe South America’s corn crop is coming back, Scoville says.

“Even so, corn exports estimate seems pretty extreme.  No real problem with the old crop data,” Scoville says.

Wheat prices are hanging in there, today. I think this has as much to do about ideas that the damage seen in the last week or so are not here. And, even so, these are pretty decent numbers with ending stocks for next year showing a very solid drop as they should,” Scoville says.

Mike North, President Commodity Risk Management Group, says that the USDA’s corn projections held close to pre-report guesses.

“Soybeans saw limited growth in domestic supplies, as projected exports continue to build into the next marketing year.  However, the offset to this friendly story comes in the fact that Brazil and Argentina have continued to add to their record production numbers,” North says.

North add, “With that information in hand, we essentially have not changed the story for traders seeking something more robust to move markets outside of the existing range.”

Sal Gilbertie,  Teucrium Trading owner, says the biggest takeaway from this report is the lowering of global ending stocks, mainly for the U.S. and China, for the 2017/18 marketing year, due to lower production and increased use.

“Corn production is forecast down from a year ago, with the largest declines in China and the United States. Partly offsetting are larger crops projected for the EU and Canada. Global corn use is up 9 million tons (1 percent), while global corn imports are projected to increase 7 million tons,” Teucrium pointed out from the WASDE Report summary.

The immediate upward response in corn prices to this report is a reflection of simple supply/demand fundamentals, Gilbert says.

“The USDA predicts that the world will use more corn but produce less corn in the coming year. The official first-of-the-season report predicts that the world’s two largest producers of corn are projected to produce less corn than last year, but global corn demand is expected to be up by 1% from last year,” Gilbert says. Corn is king, which means other markets will look to corn for price direction.”
Overall, grain prices are sitting at multi-year lows due to four years of record global production, but this report could be a warning shot of changing fundamentals moving forward into the new growing season, Gilbert says.

“It’s still very early and planting progress reports are still evolving with a few more weeks to go before markets get some actual clarity. Right now, end-user complacency with regard to grain prices could be a risky path to take,” Gilbert says.

Jason Roose, U.S. Commodities grain analyst, says that farm markets are finding support today from the USDA’s 2017-18 data.

“The lower 2017/2018 corn world ending stocks and a continuing strong ethanol demand gave initial support to the corn market. Plus, the larger crush and lower ending stocks gave soybeans initial support,” Roose says. BY MIKE MCGINNIS.

NORTH DAKOTA FARMER JOE BREKER'S LIFETIME OF CONSERVATION DISCOVERY.

Joe Breker says almost everything he’s learned in his 38 years of farming in the northern prairie was born of necessity. “It really is the mother of invention,” says the conservation fanatic from Havana, North Dakota.

His farming career breaks down into three learning periods.

1. Learning no-till.

At North Dakota State University in the late 1970s, Breker had his first “aha” conservation moment. “A soils professor told us about this new thing called no-till, and encouraged us to check it out.”

Breker did more than that: He found and picked the brains of pioneer no-till farmers, then took it home and tried it on a few fields in 1979. “The next year, we went the whole way, growing every field of corn, soybeans, and cereal grains with no-till,” he recalls. “It made our neighbors wonder what in the world we were thinking.”

They didn’t wonder for long as the 1980s turned dry, and no-till proved its worth in conserving both soil and moisture.

2. Learning cover crops.

Then the 1990s turned wet, and the problem flipped from conserving moisture to getting rid of it. Some people reverted to a chisel plow. Not Breker.

“I was especially struggling with cereal grains,” he says. “We have that long fallow period in the fall, with nothing growing to use up the water. We decided we needed more plants and started trying cover crops.”

He tried vetch, sorghum, sunflowers, and others. But the one that impressed most was field peas. “It uses up a lot of water, and we can get up to 2 tons of vegetation an acre,” he says. “It makes good cattle feed.”

3. Learning cover crop options.

It took several more years for Breker to discover another class of cover crops called the brassicas – turnips, radishes, and a few others. “They’re deep-rooted, fast-growing, water-using, and cold-tolerant,” he says. “They grow in a variety of soil conditions.” In essence, they give more options.

Now, he often seeds turnips and radishes on wheat stubble in preparation for a corn crop the next year. They leave behind a seedbed that’s mellow and porous.

In the last 10 years, Breker has adopted an advanced cover crop system first developed by Kelly Cooper, the manager at the Conservation Cropping Systems Project Farm at Forman, North Dakota. That system alternates strips of brassicas and field peas on 30-inch centers. Using GPS-guidance, corn is planted directly over the brassica strips. It’s like strip-tillage without the tillage; they call it bio strip-till.

Breker says the net result of his no-till and cover crop journey is that he’s better managing moisture while building crop nutrients and soil organic matter. “The soil compaction created by 80 years of tillage is gone. We’ve kicked the soil health up a notch,” he says.

He’s always been quick to share his hard-earned knowledge with other farmers. His best advice: Throw a cover crop onto fields wherever you can to give erosion control (both wind and water), build organic matter, and save on fertilizer expenses.

“My favorite part of farming is watching stuff grow, and cover crops give more chances for that. It’s kind of cool to have our neighbors stop in the fall and ask if they can pick a few of our Jackhammer radishes.” BY GENE JOHNSTON.

EROSION:TREAT THE PROBLEM, NOT THE SYMPTOMS.

Beauty and the beast. A tale as old as time. This story has nothing to do with love. It’s all about erosion and what can be done to transform overworked, abused soil into healthy, productive soil teeming with life.

The situation is grim across the Midwest. Soil is eroding around a rate of 5 tons per acre per year, with severe cases losing closer to 100 tons per acre, says Jerry Hatfield, director of the USDA-ARS National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment located in Ames, Iowa. These numbers are above the rates of soil restoration, so soil will continue to be lost.

“Erosion rates are dependent upon the year,” says Hatfield. “It’s all rainfall driven.”

Intense weather events in the spring are becoming the norm across the Midwest. There is more precipitation in the spring – a time of year with little or no crop to use that water, says Hatfield.
Since there’s no vegetation to use the water or break up the raindrop energy, it leads to increased runoff and erosion, causing concern over how much erosion rates will increase across the Midwest. You battle this beast yearly. As of January 2017, 23.5 million acres were reportedly enrolled in the CRP across the U.S. Voluntary participation has helped to improve water quality and reduce soil erosion.
But is it enough?
“You protect land from erosion and reduce the amount of sediment you put into streams with these practices,” says Chad Watts, executive director of the Conservation Technology Information Center in West Lafayette, Indiana.

The bottom line: You need less soil disturbance and more residue and cover crops.Your soil is more than just the medium in which you grow plants,” says Watts. “The downfall of many civilizations was when they degraded their soil to the point that it was no longer productive. When soil degrades to the point of no return, that’s when civilizations begin to fail. It behooves you to protect your soil.”

The Curse

The practice of tillage has conservationists exasperated.
“There is no agronomic or economic reason for tillage to be justifiable anymore,” says Doug Peterson, NRCS Iowa and Missouri regional soil health specialist. “It destroys everything that restores soil function.

“The practice of tillage is more ingrained in most people than their religion,” he says.

After all, passed down from generation to generation was the thought that tillage was required to make soil function, but that is not the case. Instead, tillage causes a loss in aggregate stability, explains Peterson. Root exudates in the soil act like glue and hold together soil particles. Erosion occurs when one piece of soil breaks loose from another aggregate.

Sediment loss, nutrient loss, and water availability are the main conservation concerns for Hatfield. “We’ve induced more and more field variability over time,” he says.

“If you have good root exudates coming from year-round plant roots and a healthy biology, you have a better aggregated soil,” says Peterson.

The slake test is a good visual demonstration of what is happening in the field. The slake test consists of two clear containers full of water. A clod of soil from a tilled field is placed in one container, while a clod from a no-till field is placed in the other.  “The tilled soil dissolves rapidly,” says Peterson. “In the presence of rain, without the glues or exudates, the soil particles in the aggregates break loose, and they are very susceptible to erosion.”


That’s not the case for the no-till field, which remains intact. A field with poor soil health doesn’t allow for as much water infiltration as a healthy soil. Maintaining soil structure is important to help with infiltration, explains Hatfield.

“It’s not how much rain you get in the rain gauge that matters; it’s how much you get in the soil. Your job should be determining ways you can capture rain and store it better,” says Hatfield.
It’s not just a problem with water – there’s an issue with oxygen, as well.Those roots growing in the soil are really oxygen-dependent,” says Hatfield.


Having nonfunctioning soil biology is akin to having COPD. The soil needs to have an oxygen exchange – that’s limited in soil without a healthy biology.

It’s a Beast

You see these areas with washes get filled in by tillage. The answer to this type of erosion is to manage water better, explains Watts.

The ideal system is a continual no-till with cover crops, which builds soil aggregates and allows more air and water movement through the soil.

The following three steps will help you manage your soil for the future.
1. Adjust your strategy. Leave residue. Material left on the soil surface is an impediment to water movement. Cover crops or a grass waterway help deflect that water, resulting in more infiltration and less runoff.

Gully erosion, a concentrated flow of water that cuts deep channels, is different from other types of erosion because you notice it right away. Other types don’t appear to be a significant problem – yet, looks can be deceiving. Sheet erosion (the uniform removal of soil in thin layers by raindrops and overland flow) and rill erosion (the removal of soil by concentrated water through small channels) are the types that cause the most soil loss.“If you lose .10 inch of soil a year, you don’t notice it,” says Watts. “You’re losing more than you think. A tenth of an inch over 40 acres adds up – it’s just less noticeable.”


Don’t think this is affecting you? Losing the thickness of one sheet of paper across an acre is equivalent to losing 5 tons of soil, says Peterson. If you have perfectly clear water in your field after a rain event, then you didn’t have much sheet erosion, he explains.

2. Fix it right. Available programs with cost sharing have made it easier to fix issues, says Watts. Over the years, farmers have done a pretty good job addressing the critical areas with waterways. “For example, if you get a gully, you don’t get a lot growing. You’re money ahead to fix it and fix it right rather than try to farm with it,” he says.

Growers are certainly headed in the right direction. “Even more than 10 years ago, protecting your soil is part of the conversation. As you talk about being sustainable, soil has to be part of that conversation,” Watts says.

When considering conservation practices, it’s key to think of the context of how it fits into your production system.

There’s a direct tie between conservation and your production system. There are enough options within conservation that you can protect soil while being productive and profitable, says Watts.
3. Treat the problem, not the symptoms. An emphasis has been placed on buffers in past years, but they should be considered the last line of defense.

“If you have water, it’s going to move some soil,” says Watts. “Some movement is inevitable.”
In-field management should be the answer instead of relying on capturing soil, nutrients, and water leaving the field.

“Edge-of-field practices (such as buffers) slow down water movement and stop those sediment and nutrient runoffs before they get too far,” says Watts. While valuable practices, they only treat symptoms – not the problem – and should only be half of the system.

“When you get to the point where you have a big gully, you need to pinpoint why you can’t fill it in with tillage,” explains Watts. “Look up the hill to see what’s happening.”In-field management gives you an opportunity to address the problem. “The beauty is that there is an opportunity to tie conservation practices to production,” says Watts. “Cover crops build organic matter, and there are production benefits that go along with building organic matter.”

The Beauty of Transformation

The conversation needs to move from no-till to never-till.  “Any time you make a tillage pass, you begin to break down aggregates,” says Peterson.

Water infiltrates the pore spaces in the aggregates, and tillage passes destroy those spaces in the aggregates. Ultimately, this destroys the ability of the water to infiltrate the soil. That’s not all it harms. It also slashes the earthworm habitat.

“The more active the biology, the more you’re going to get out of the system,” says Peterson.
Take nutrient cycling, for example. In a tilled environment, only about 30% to 50% of nutrients make it into the plant, says Peterson. However, with no-till, 70% to 90% of nutrients will be accessed by the plant. This may improve yield, and it lowers the risk of nutrient loss.

Producers have installed a lot of practices without understanding that they’re treating only symptoms of the problem instead of the root cause, says Peterson.

The goal of a bioreactor is to trap nitrates that leave the field and prevent them from going into a river or stream. Even if it’s just $10 to $30 per acre in nitrates leaving the field, that’s a $10 to $30 investment going unutilized because the soil couldn’t hold the nutrients. It’s an investment you can’t get back, he says.

“Historically, the problem hasn’t been understood. The soil wasn’t functioning properly. Those edge-of-field practices may function really well, but it’s still costing you,” he says.Cover crops combined with no-till could be the answer. Cover crops add organic matter to the soil, while no-till builds aggregate stability, he says. “Neither practice is as effective by itself.”


Together, the combination can help build healthier soil, resulting in less need for conservation practices that merely treat the symptoms.

Watts believes having organic matter and healthy soils will result in a reduction in the amount of tillage.

That’s why cover crops are gaining ground. “A lot of people are realizing they can make them work in their system,” Hatfield says. “More and more producers are beginning to see the value of that, but they need to figure out how to work it into their systems.”
This age-old tale may just have a new, sustainable ending. BY KACEY BIRCHMIER.

CHINA 2017/18 CORN PLANTING AREA TO DROP 2.5%.

BEIJING, May 10 (Reuters) - Chinese farmers are expected to sow 35.84 million hectares of corn this year, down 2.5% from last year, the agriculture ministry said on Wednesday, as Beijing looks to boost alternative crops to reduce its corn glut.

In its first estimate for the 2017 crop, the ministry said China is expected to produce 213.19 million tonnes of corn, down 2.9% from a year ago.

The planting forecast in the monthly report on Chinese Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (CASDE) shows a smaller percentage decline than predicted by China's National Bureau of Statistics last month.


Beijing is sitting on close to 250 million tonnes of corn, equal to more than a year of consumption, after a near decade-long stockpiling system. The glut prompted Beijing to include cutting corn areas and raising soybean planting in a five-year government plan issued last year.

The CASDE report said soybean imports by China, the world’s top buyer of the oilseed, were expected to jump 4.2% from last year to 93.16 million tonnes, as hog production recovers and demand for soy meal increases.

China imported 8.02 million tonnes of soybeans in April, a fourth consecutive month when imports set a record for that month, data from the General Administration of Customs of China showed on Monday.

China’s 2017/2018 soybean acreage was seen at 7.9 million hectares, up 10%, while soybean output was expected to rise 12% to 14.1 million tonnes, the CASDE report said.
(Reporting by Hallie Gu and Dominique Patton; editing by Richard Pullin). BY HALLIE GU.