Wednesday 31 May 2017

OYO STATE EMBRACES FARMING TO STAVE OFF ECONOMIC CRISIS.

As a result of the persisting economic woes facing the country, the Oyo State Government has decided to diversify its economy into farming and mining with a view to improving the financial status of the state. To ensure a successful diversification of process, the government recently organised an Agriculture Initiative Stakeholders’ Consultative Forum, held at the House of Chiefs, Parliament Building, Ibadan, during which the state governor, Senator Abiola Ajimobi, attributed the pervading economic woes to the country’s failure to save for a rainy day during the oil boom, worsened by neglect of agriculture. He disclosed that the forum was aimed at getting stakeholders in his administration to diversify the economy of the state through the exploration of aggressive, all-inclusive and sustainable agricultural value chain.


According to him, the dwindling allocation from the federation account owing to the fall in the price of crude oil in the international market had called for massive investment in farming.
“We did not save for the raining day when there was oil boom in the country. We relied heavily on income from oil. But we have all been jolted into reality now that a barrel sells for an all-time low of $30. Nigeria has depended so much on oil which has now lost its value at the international market. So we have to look for alternative sources of revenue through aggressive investment in agriculture.
“The fall in oil price has done more good than harm as it has opened our eyes to the effectiveness of mechanised farming as our saving grace,” he said. NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD.

HOW DOES LAND TENURE AFFECT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY? A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW.

A lot of us who may come from the West assume that land rights certification, registration or titling are important attributes of any kind of land tenure or property rights system. We think of formal recording of land rights as essential to assuring farmers that they have land tenure security, an important enabling condition to agricultural development.

Economic theory and common sense tell us that if a family is going to invest in their property, they need to have a clear expectation that, far into the future, the kinds of sacrifices, investments of labor, capital, materials, into that land, and the benefits that come from those investments, will accrue to them. There’s a very simple relationship between land tenure security, property rights security, and investment: Theory predicts positive outcomes, and these are often observed practice, where people have clear tenure security.

However, in many developing countries, the kind of formal certification, property rights and titling systems that we are familiar with in wealthy countries often do not exist. A lot of farmers farm on land owned by the state. In Africa particularly, a lot of farming—up to 90 percent—is done on land held under customary tenure regimes, where land rights are not certified formally. Under customary tenure, people gain access to land as a social right, granted by virtue of their membership in a community.

THE QUESTION

So in 2013, the UK Department for International Development (DFID) asked me and a group of scholars to pull together a team of other researchers and graduate students to do a systematic review on the effects of efforts to “formalize” land rights through certification or titling on changes in agricultural investment and productivity in the developing world. Theory would predict that where farm land was previously unregistered, levels of investment and productivity would increase markedly after certification or titling.

Part of the development discourse over the past 30 to 40 years has been that African agriculture will not take off unless people have clear tenure security, and there’s an underlying assumption that this is delivered through land-rights certification or titling, as in Latin America and parts of Asia. So, in light of the fact that over the past 30 to 40 years there have been a number of efforts to convert non-formally tenured regimes into formally tenured regimes, based on certification by the state, the question that DFID asked us to look into was, What have been the effects with respect to the expected increases following land-rights certification and investment in productivity? In farmer incomes? In flow of credit?

That was the topic of our systematic review. Our inclusion criteria was limited to studies that were based on randomized control trials—randomized samples of farming households in an area that had received a treatment, which was, for example, land-rights certification, in comparison to a community where we were able to control all other factors apart from the fact that the community had not received land-rights certification. We wanted to look at, empirically, the effects of the certification intervention on investment, productivity of agriculture, farmer family incomes, and access to credit.

THE FINDINGS

Those who have conducted systematic reviews know the pain. The graduate students looked at 25,000 titles on this subject and reduced that to a review of 1,000 abstracts, which yielded 100 papers that we looked at in detail. Only 20 studies met our inclusion criteria. This is a huge question for the development world, for economic theory, a whole host of issues—and only 20 studies met a rigorous standard of empirical research design.

The 20 studies fell in nine countries: five in Latin America, five in Asia, and 10 in Africa.
In the Latin American and Asia cases, after certification or titling, there were significant gains to productivity of between 50 and 100 percent, and strongly positive gains to investment and income following tenure recognition, typically titling. However, in the Africa cases, there were weak or modest gains to productivity—between zero and 10 percent gains to productivity—and in investment and income following certification (though in most cases there were still positive gains)
Another important finding was there was no or weak discernible credit effects anywhere. Most studies—and we were looking very carefully through a gender lens with respect to differential effects on men and women—failed to aggregate effects of tenure recognition on women, except for two quantitative studies that identified positive effects (in Ethiopia and in Rwanda).

WHY DID RESULTS DIFFER?

So then the question becomes, Why are these significant gains in Latin America and Asia, and these relatively weak or modest gains in Africa? We have three hypotheses that we’re exploring through further research.

The first hypothesis is what we’re calling the role of pre-existing institutions—in Africa specifically, customary tenure. Customary tenure systems provide access to land as a social right by virtue of one’s membership in the community. An indicator of the security of the tenure is that land can often be inherited by other family members, but it can’t be sold, typically. Customary tenure often provides high levels of tenure security.

Customary tenure systems generally provide poor people in Africa access to land, free of charge, and once again as a social right; this is a pervasive institution in Africa. The designers of certification and titling programs, we hypothesized, were likely underestimating the tenure security of people who held those lands. And so when those land rights were certified, the kind of productivity gains or investment gains that would have been projected, assuming prior tenure insecurity, didn’t happen. Those assumptions were misplaced.

Another factor is what we’re calling the wealth effect: Household resources and income in Africa are much lower among poor farmers in comparison to poor farmers in Latin America and in Asia. So, if you’re going to do something with your land, it’s just not about land as an asset. It’s about labor, capital, having the income to invest in your farming enterprise, and the generally low levels of income among African farmers constrain their ability to make better use of their land. That’s hypothesis number two.

The third hypothesis is what we’re calling the effects of complementary public investments. Programs to secure land rights are best treated as one element in comprehensive agrarian reform programs. Effective reform is not about providing secure land rights to people. It’s also about providing affordable access to farming inputs and markets, and investment in roads, cooperatives, farming training, and so on; investments that enable farmers to capitalize on their secure land rights. Levels of public investment in rural areas in Africa are, we believe, much lower than they are in Latin America and Asia.

One of our arguments is that, when talking about land-rights certification or formalization in Africa, you really have to approach it as a package of investments, and you have to account for this wealth effect.
Our plan is to explore more deeply what might explain the weaker responses in Africa. We believe the hypotheses I’ve noted provide a good starting point. BY STEVEN LAWRY.


GOV. DICKSON ON AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT IN BAYELSA

Bayelsa State has comparative advantage in large-scale production of rice, palm produce, aquaculture, banana, plantain, cassava and vegetables. The state has invested in mega aquaculture projects with two Israeli companies, which are presently under construction to produce 3,000 tons of fish annually. Our vegetation is suitable for three cycles of rice production. We have major rice farms of our own which produces the Restoration brand of Rice.


Currently, we have 4,000 hectares of rice farm at Peremabiri, 5,000 hectares at Isampor and 2,000 hectares at Kolo. We have the capacity to grow and produce rice that will feed the entire Bayelsa State, Nigeria, West Africa and for export oversea.


We have established in conjunction with Ostertrade Engineering & Manufacturing KFT/DPP International APS, a Hungarian/Danish consortium a cassava starch processing plant with a capacity to produce 600 tons of industrial starch per annum and an out growers scheme of 600 hectares cassava farm. We have concluded a seed multiplication farm on a 40 hectares at Ebedbiri for this cassava farm.
The state has a palm plantation of 1,200 hectares with a potential to grow the palm plantation to 2,000 hectares at the current location. Similar opportunities abound across the state to increase the palm production capacity. Bayelsa has the capacity to be like Malaysia and Indonesia in oil palm production.

We therefore invite investors to partner with us in the Agriculture sector.In addition, Bayelsa is the natural home of organic banana and vegetables in Nigeria. That is why we are building the Cargo International Airport to prepare the state for the export market. From Bayelsa to anywhere in Europe is less than six hours in flight time.With the airport in place and the harnessing of all the state’s agricultural potentials, Bayelsa will be able to feed Nigeria, Africa and indeed, the rest of the world. BY SAINT MENPANO.

CORN, BEANS LOWER OVERNIGHT: TRADERS WAIT TO SEE IF DEMAND SHIFTS TO SOUTH AMERICA.

1. Corn, Soybeans Lower Overnight as Dry Weather Allows Farmers in Fields

Corn and soybean prices were lower on speculation that a round of dry weather this week will allow farmers to continue planting.

Little rain is expected in much of the Midwest this week where only slight chances of precipitation are expected, according to the National Weather Service.

That should allow growers to get into fields and accelerate seeding. The Department of Agriculture will release its Crop Progress Report today, one day later than usual due to the Memorial Day holiday.

As of last week, however, about 84% of corn was planted, only slightly behind the five-year average pace, and 53% of soybeans was in the ground, just ahead of the average, according to the USDA.

Corn futures for July delivery fell 3½¢ to $3.70¾ a bushel overnight on the Chicago Board of Trade.
Soybeans declined 1¾¢ to $9.24¾ a bushel in Chicago. Soy meal gained 60¢ to $302.40 a short ton, and soy oil lost 0.12¢ to 31.48¢ a pound.

Wheat futures fell 3½¢ in Chicago, while Kansas City futures declined 3¾¢ to $4.33¾ a bushel.

2. All Eyes on Importers to See if They Shift Purchases to South America

Traders are starting to watch importers to see if they’re shifting to South America and away from U.S. supplies as tends to happen around this time of year.

The bad news/good news for U.S. growers is that prices are low. That’s bad in that prices are low, so obviously they won’t get as much for their crops. It’s good in that it gives U.S. supplies a fighting chance against the Brazilians/Argentinians.

Growers in Argentina are about 40% finished with their corn harvest, according to Tomm Pfitzenmaier, the president of Summit Commodities, a brokerage in Des Moines, Iowa, and it’s not like in years past when they didn’t have the infrastructure to get their grain to ports. Because that’s less of an issue these days, the corn they’ve harvested is ready (at least some of it) for export to overseas buyers.

The other bit of good news for U.S. farmers is that most of the corn that’s harvested early in the country is used domestically, so there still may be some time for U.S. exporters to fill needs.

The calendar flips to June this week, and it’s more along the late-June/early-July time frame that South American exports really start to take market share from the U.S., Pfitzenmaier said, so it’ll be interesting to see when importers start to look south – if they do.

Rest assured, overseas buyers will look south at some point, but as we all know, it’s really going to come down to price.

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3. Midwest Mostly Dry Today With Some Spotty Storms Possible From Kansas Through Illinois

Little rainfall is expected in much of the Midwest today says the National Weather Service, though there’s a small chance that storms could pop up in Missouri and Illinois.

“There is a chance of thunderstorms across much of (Illinois) this afternoon and early evening,” the NWS said in an early Tuesday report. “Isolated severe storms are possible across parts of central and southeast Missouri. The primary threats will be damaging wind gusts.”

In eastern Kansas through much of Missouri, strong storms have a chance of developing, the agency said.

Any storms will be “isolated” but severe, the NWS said.
“Activity will be spotty and brief, though strong winds and large hail are possible with any storms that may develop,” according to this morning’s weather report.
Get involved in the discussion in Marketing Talk. BY TONY DREIBUS.

U.S CORN PLANTING NEARS COMPLETION, USDA REPORTS.

DES MOINES, Iowa — The U.S. corn crop’s progress is well behind a year ago, while the soybean planting pace remains behind its five-year pace, according to the USDA’s Weekly Crop Progress Report.

Corn

As of Sunday, 91% of the U.S. corn crop had been put into the ground vs. a 93% five-year average and a trade expectation of between 90-93%, according to Monday’s report.
The governmental agency noted that the U.S. corn crop is rated as 65% good/excellent vs. a 72% year ago rating.

USDA pegged corn emergence at 73% vs. a 75% five-year average.
Al Kluis, Kluis Commodities, says today’s report is no real surprise to investors.

“Today's report is neutral for prices tonight.  I expect corn and soybeans to start out steady to 1 cent higher tonight,” Kluis stated in a daily note to customers Monday.

Soybeans

For soybeans, 67% of the the nation’s crop has been planted, compared with 68% five-year average.
USDA pegged the soybean crop as 37% emerged, slightly below a 40% five-year average.
Meanwhile, the U.S. wheat crop is rated as 50% good/excellent, below a 52% week ago rating. BY MIKE MCGINNIS