Despite the late blizzard that caused considerable concern about the Kansas winter wheat crop, farmers report that, overall, the crop looks better than expected.
Marc Ramsey, who farms near Scott City in western Kansas, received 14 inches of snow on April 30 that knocked down trees and wheat fields, as shown in the photo below. Surprisingly, he said that the snow may have helped more than it hurt.
“The moisture was badly needed and apparently the stems weren’t damaged badly enough across acreage to make a huge impact,” he says. “Some wheat is lodged, but it seemed to fill decently through the heat.”Ramsey is just getting started on wheat harvest, but he says test weights have been in the 58 to 60 range. “Yields were above average, but protein is in the 9 to 10 range, so nothing special there,” he adds. “Accounts from area farmers are saying you either have quantity or quality, but more often than not you don’t get both.”
Eric Sperber, manager of Cornerstone Ag, LLC in Colby about an hour north of Ramsey’s farm, heard similar comments from the farmers in his area.
“Most people were pleasantly surprised at the lack of impact from the snow,” he said during a report with the Kansas Wheat Commission. “One farmer had an early planted field that looked like a mess after the snow. It stood back up, but fell over again at grainfill. He wasn’t expecting much, but it ended up yielding 60 bushels per acre and over 60 pounds per bushel.”
An hour northeast from Colby in Norton, Kansas, Chris Tanner also got hit with the late-April snowstorm. “When the snow was laying on the wheat, I thought it was dead and done for,” said Tanner in the Kansas Wheat harvest report. “After that there was a little bit of a dry spell that wasn’t good for it, but it’s been pretty resilient. They say wheat has nine lives, but this crop is on its tenth or eleventh.”
He adds that condition has varied with test weights from 58 to 62 pounds per bushel and yields from 20 up to 80 bushels per acre. However, he says that variation is mainly based on planting date and wheat variety.
While hail and rain have slowed down winter wheat harvest in western Kansas, across the state winter wheat harvest is progressing almost right on pace with the five-year average with 73% complete compared to 72%, according to this week’s USDA Crop Progress Report. As far as the condition goes, the USDA reports that 47% is in good to excellent condition, 31% fair, 14% poor, and 8% very poor. This is on par with the rest of the country’s winter wheat crop – 48% is in good to excellent condition – but it is trailing last year’s crop when 62% was rated as good or excellent at this time.
Not surprising given the condition ratings, the USDA is predicting a lower yielding wheat crop compared with last year. According to the USDA’s Crop Production report, winter wheat yields for Kansas are forecast at 44 bushels per acre, down from 57 bushels per acre last year. BY JESSIE SCOTT
Monday, 10 July 2017
MISSOURI, ARKANSAS BAN DICAMBA USE.
“Missouri Director of Agriculture Chris Chinn has issued a Stop Sale, Use or Removal Order on all products labeled for agricultural use that contain dicamba in Missouri,” the state’s ag department said Friday, citing more than 130 drift complaints this year alleging thousands of acres of damage.
The order says the state “has probable cause to believe dicamba-containing pesticide products are being used in violation” of state regulations requiring adherence to the EPA label or state pesticide laws.
The state’s order applies to all formulations of the herbicide, including Monsanto’s Xtendimax, DuPont’s FeXapan, and BASF’s Engenia. In Arkansas, the ban applies to Engenia, the only formulation the state approved for over-the-top use this growing season.
The Missouri order says that “older dicamba products are not labeled by (EPA) for in-crop post-emergent use in dicamba-tolerant cotton and soybean crops. EPA-approved labels for Xtendimax, Engenia and FeXapan warn all users to not apply the pesticide during a temperature inversion and to not allow the pesticide to drift onto desirable broadleaf vegetation because severe injury or destruction could result.”
“With only a small window left for application in this growing season, I understand the critical need to resolve this issue,” Chinn said. “I look forward to working with our farmers, researchers and industry partners to find an immediate solution.”
In Arkansas, the executive committee of the state’s Legislative Council allowed the proposed ban to move forward following a recommendation by the state’s Plant Board, which was then approved by Gov. Asa Hutchinson. The council is composed of a panel of state legislators.
The Associated Press reported that the executive committee took no action on the proposed ban, allowing it go into effect “unless a majority of the Legislative Council or its chairmen hold a meeting Monday to review the panel's decision.” Earlier in the week, the council approved an increase in fines for “egregious” dicamba misuse to $25,000.
Dicamba misuse complaints in that state totalled 596 in 23 counties as of today. BY AGRI-PULSE COMMUNICATIONS.
WHEAT FUTURES JUMPS OVERNIGHT, INVESTORS BULLISH ON SOFT RED FIRST TIME IN 2YEARS.
Wheat prices rose in overnight trading after some wet weather expected to offer some relief to parched spring crops in North Dakota was underwhelming.
Only small amounts of rain – about 0.25 inch in only a few counties in the state – fell on Sunday. Some forecasts had been calling for more widespread rains over the weekend.
The entire northern Plains where most spring wheat is grown in the U.S. has been extremely dry the past month, according to the National Weather Service. That’s left many investors, analysts and farmers wondering if there’s going to be much of a spring wheat crop this year.
Wheat for September delivery rose 13 ½ cents to $5.48 ½ a bushel overnight on the Chicago Board of Trade. Kansas City futures jumped 11 ¼ cents to $5.54 ¼ a bushel.
Soybeans also jumped overnight on concerns not only about the northern Plains bean crop but also the canola and palm crops globally. Canola and palm are competing oilseeds for soybeans.
Soybeans for November delivery added 19 ½ cents to $10.35 a bushel overnight. Soymeal rose $7.90 to $345.90 a short ton and soy oil futures gained 0.37 cent to 33.69 cents a pound.
Corn rose on the weather woes in the northern Plains as December futures added 8 ¼ cents to $4.13 a bushel overnight.
2. Speculative Investors Now Bullish Soft-Red Winter, Increase Net-Longs in Hard-Red Wheat
Money managers were bullish soft-red winter wheat for the first time since July 2015 and investors were net-long on hard-red winter futures by the most in at least six years as dry weather continues to plague the northern Plains.
Net-longs, or bets on higher prices, totaled 23,997 soft-red futures contracts in the week that ended on July 3, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the first time investors were bullish on the grain in two years.
Speculative investors were net-long by 54,574 hard-red winter wheat contracts last week, the biggest such position since at least 2011, CFTC data show.
Investors have been getting more bullish on wheat as dry weather in the northern Plains has likely led to spring-crop losses. About two-thirds of North Dakota is in some sort of drought while the rest is abnormally dry, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.
Money managers were also less bearish on corn and soybeans.
Net-shorts, or bets on lower prices, in corn fell to 37,607 contracts, the lowest level in three weeks. In soybeans, net-short positions fell to 82,630 contracts, the lowest such position since the week ended on May 23, according to the CFTC.
The weekly commitment of traders report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows trader positions in futures markets.
The report provides positions held by commercial traders, or those using futures to hedge their physical assets; noncommercial traders, or money managers (also called large speculators); and nonreportables, or small speculators.
A net-long position indicates more traders are betting on higher prices, while a net-short position means more are betting futures will decline.
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3. Red Flag, Thunderstorm Warnings Issued For Montana; Heat Indexes to Reach 107 in Midwest
Much of Montana likely will see an odd mix of hot and dry weather and potentially severe thunderstorms this afternoon.
A red flag warning indicating that it’s extremely dry and wildfires are imminent has been issued for much of central Montana until 11 p.m. today due to a combination of low humidity, gusty winds and lightning from “dry thunderstorms,” according to the National Weather Service.
Further east, some scattered thunderstorms are likely that could bring rainfall, hail and damaging winds, the NWS said in a morning report.
Temperatures this week in most of the northern Plains will near 100 degrees, the agency said.
In the Midwest, a heat advisory has been issued for an area encompassing much of southeastern Nebraska, southwestern Iowa, northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri.
Temperatures this week will be in the mid-90s with heat indexes as high as 107 degrees through Wednesday, according to the NWS. BY TONY DREIBUS.
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