Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Pork Powerhouses 2016: Glut of Pigs


Pigs are plentiful, shackle space is tight, and hog prices are crashing. Welcome to the first quarter of 2017. Or is it 1998 all over again?

The Successful Farming® exclusive 2016 Pork Powerhouses® ranking of the largest 35 producers in the U.S. shows an increase of 123,000 sows from one year ago. With 3.77 million sows, these companies control two thirds of the pig production in the U.S. The largest company, Smithfield Foods, actually cut back on U.S. sows this year, but 22 of the top 35 companies expanded.

Top 10 Takeaways from Pork Powerhouses 2017

 

1. New packing plants are driving expansion.

Seaboard Foods (290,000 sows) added 73,000 sows this year, mainly through acquisition, as it gears up to supply the new Seaboard Triumph Foods plant set to open next summer in Sioux City, Iowa.

Seaboard bought 35,000 sows from Christensen Farms, a partner in Triumph Foods, and acquired Texas Farm, which had 25,000 sows and room to grow to 40,000.

“We are going to continue to build our sow base in the next six to 12 months,” says Stephen Summerlin, senior VP of operations for Seaboard. “We are looking at both growth and acquisition, but acquisition opportunities make more sense in the economic landscape.”

Farms in the eastern Corn Belt are expanding to supply the new Clemens Food Group packing plant opening in September 2017 in Michigan. Four companies in the Pork Powerhouses ranking are based in Ohio, and a few more in that state are expanding toward the 20,000 mark.

Independent producer Prestage Foods of Clinton, North Carolina (175,000 sows), is building a packing plant near Eagle Grove, Iowa, that will process 10,000 hogs a day starting in 2019. About 40% of the hogs will be purchased from independent producers, says Zack McCullen, vice president of swine production for Prestage.

“We are really excited to get it up and going. Iowa is a great place to build a plant with all the corn and pigs,” he says. “We can supply 60% of the plant with our own pigs and will buy 40% from local farmers. Producers are excited about the plant because it gives them another option to sell pigs.”

With two large plants coming on line in 2017 and another in 2019, will older plants shut down? Greenwood Packing in South Carolina closed its 3,000-head-per-day facility in May. None of the other packers is flinching – yet.

“Smithfield is laser-focused on achieving growth, not shrinking. We have no plans to close any of our plants,” says Gregg Schmidt, president of Smithfield Hog Production.

2. Sows are more productive.

Even though Smithfield dropped from 894,000 to 880,000 sows in the U.S. this year, pig numbers for the company are stable. “We have the same number of pigs with fewer farms,” says Schmidt. “In the next two to three years, we will hold where we are in sows and get more productive.” (Smithfield is adding sows in Mexico and Poland.)

Pigs per sow per year continue to climb, says Matt Culbertson, director of global product development at PIC, the world’s largest swine breeding stock company. The company has a composite dataset of customers that supplies information for benchmarking.

“Five years ago, 30 pigs per sow per year seemed more like a dream or a stretch target to the majority of the industry,” says Culbertson. “Today, I’m aware of multiple systems achieving 30 pigs per sow per year over a 12-month period across all of their sow base.”

3. Packer margins are wide.

The feeling from independent producers can be summed up this way: I’ve got a big investment in my farms and someone else is making the money. There is no real fundamental market for hogs, no bidding process. I’m squeezed out of the market.

With more hogs than shackle space this winter, is it December 1998 again? “I’m asking myself that question,” says Harley Sietsema, owner of Sietsema Farms in Allendale, Michigan. “Do we lock in hogs at a small loss now rather than taking a big loss later?”

Sietsema remembers 1998 well. “We subsidized the business until the market got better. I see us having to do that this winter.” His three strategies to survive the downturn in hog prices are to sell futures, to buy inputs as cheaply as possible, and to tighten production parameters.

It’s going to be an interesting winter, agrees everyone on the Pork Powerhouses list. It may come down to who has the capital to hold out for nine months. How quickly will people pull the trigger and say they’ve got to get out of this business?

4. Feed is cheap, thank goodness.

Lower corn and soybean prices are good news for pork producers. However, cheap feed creates a knee-jerk reaction where more people think they need to feed the grain, so the hog industry expands even more.

The downturn in the farm economy means some grain farmers are more reliant on hog barn contracts for their incomes. They may be more open to expansion, say producers.

5. China makes everyone nervous.

Chinese imports have kept the U.S. hog industry afloat for years, say producers. If China slows down, there’s no place else for us to go with all this meat. Everyone is hoping China doesn’t run out of money. The dollar is strong, and Europe’s pork is cheap relative to ours.

Shuanghui Development, Smithfield Foods’ sister company in China and that country’s largest meat company, opened a plant in China last year to turn pork sourced from Smithfield in the U.S. into packaged meat with the Smithfield label.

6. PRRS is still a problem.

The PRRS virus hit many of the largest producers from December through March, especially North Carolina, Ohio, Indiana, and Missouri. “Out here in the East, PRRS rolls through and causes pig supply problems for our plant,” says Schmidt. “If we eliminate PRRS, the industry has the capacity to produce a lot more pigs.”

The disease is inconsistent, says Jimmy Pollock of J.C. Howard Farms in Deep Run, North Carolina. “Some farms are devastated with higher sow and preweaning mortality; some aren’t as severely affected. PRRS started as a mystery disease and it still is.”

7. Management companies are growing.

Carthage System, based in Carthage, Illinois, is up to 145,000 sows managed, a growth of 25,000 sows from one year ago, and it’s mainly new construction. The growth of veterinarian-owned Carthage, as well as Pipestone System in Minnesota, which added 15,000 sows this year, shows that many farmers don’t want to manage sows; they would rather pay someone to manage them. On the Pork Powerhouses 2016 ranking, eight firms are management companies.

8. Barn designs are changing.

Almost every company on the Pork Powerhouses ranking is remodeling and converting farms. A few finishing barns are being converted to sow farms, stall gestation is being converted to pens, and some sow farms are switching to batch farrowing.

The transition to group sow housing happens when the opportunity presents itself with new construction or investment in new facilities.

New Fashion Pork, a member of Triumph Foods, has a new 1,400-sow farm near Thorp, Wisconsin, where gestating sows live in groups of 250 in large pens. There are 32 square feet of space per sow. Sows and gilts are held in stalls for a few hours to be bred and then released and allowed to move around within a breeding group pen. The farm also features turnaround-style farrowing stalls.

One new sow barn design is 280 feet wide. Rob Brenneman built a few of these superwide barns in Missouri and says, “We love them. We don’t have as many barns to maintain, so the cost per sow goes down.” The barns use filtered ventilation with fans cooling the rooms from the middle.

“It wouldn’t work if they were cross-ventilated,” says Brenneman. “They are easier to manage.” His barns are built by Win-Win in Illinois.

9. Antibiotic regulations are driving change.

All producers are thinking about how they can raise healthy pigs using fewer antibiotics. Nurseries are becoming popular again. “As people look at reduced antibiotic use, they see potential benefits to using nurseries to get pigs started better and to going forward more consistently,” says Culbertson at PIC.
Reicks View Farms near Lawler, Iowa, designed and built a new 2,400-head nursery building that sends air through a cool cell system, using evaporation to give the pigs the ideal growing environment. A cool cell pad catches the dust exiting through the fans, reducing ammonia and odor emissions by 50%.

10. More change is coming.

Many sow farms are more than 25 years old and reaching their lifespans. Christensen Farms has a large project on two sow pods in Nebraska, where they are building new barns and stocking 14,000 sows later this year. The site held 10,000 sows before the rebuild.

“The next three to five years will see a lot of change in the industry,” says Glenn Stolt, CEO of Christensen Farms, based in Sleepy Eye, Minnesota. “It’s quite exciting; it feels like the mid-1990s.”

source: successful farming

Wheat Prices

Wheat prices (ZW), including contracts quotes and price charts from the CBOT. Wheat futures prices and wheat options prices listed along with commodity summary information.

Wheat Delayed Futures

Click on Contract for Chart
ContractLastChangeOpenHighLowVolumeDate
Cash (ZWY00)418-0s4-00-0418-0418-0001/20
Mar '17 (ZWH17)428-2s4-6423-4428-6421-453,71001/20
May '17 (ZWK17)443-2s4-0439-0443-4437-017,81801/20
Jul '17 (ZWN17)458-4s3-2454-6459-0452-615,18901/20
Sep '17 (ZWU17)473-2s2-4468-6473-4468-24,64401/20
Dec '17 (ZWZ17)492-0s2-2488-6492-4487-04,91901/20
Mar '18 (ZWH18)504-6s2-2502-0504-6500-224501/20
May '18 (ZWK18)513-2s3-0509-0513-2508-611701/20
Jul '18 (ZWN18)512-2s1-2509-0512-2507-64301/20
Sep '18 (ZWU18)522-6s1-60-0522-6522-6001/20
Dec '18 (ZWZ18)536-0s1-00-0536-0536-0001/20
Mar '19 (ZWH19)546-2s0-60-0546-2546-2001/20
May '19 (ZWK19)552-4s0-60-0552-4552-4001/20
Jul '19 (ZWN19)544-4s-5-0543-0544-4543-0201/20

 
© 2016 Barchart.com, Inc. Quote data provided and hosted by Barchart Market Data Solutions. Information is provided 'as-is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and is delayed. To see all exchange delay and terms of use please see disclaimer.
 
source: successful farming

Perdue an 'Outstanding Choice' for Ag Secretary, Farm Groups Say

The nomination of former Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue as the next secretary of agriculture was lauded by farm groups who said his background will serve him well.

The National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA) said in a statement that Perdue, who is not related to the Perdue poultry family, is an “outstanding choice” for ag secretary. The 70-year-old Democrat-turned-Republican was a member of the NGFA’s board of directors from 2014 until his nomination, and served on its Country Elevator Committee in the late ’80s, the group said.

“Governor Perdue is an accomplished, innovative, problem-solving, and proven public servant, and is an excellent choice to serve as secretary of agriculture,” NGFA President Randy Gordon said in a statement on Thursday.

“He has strong rural roots, having grown up on a row-crop and dairy farm, and is a person of impeccable character, trustworthiness, and integrity who is an energetic, passionate, and tireless advocate for U.S. agriculture and for America.

His background in agricultural trade – he owns a company called Perdue Partners that focuses on exporting U.S. products – also makes him a strong candidate for the position, Gordon said.

The nominee is a veterinarian by trade who grew up on a farm and has vast experience running small businesses. As governor of Georgia, he worked on improving trade with overseas partners.

National Farmers Union President Roger Johnson said after the nomination was made public that Perdue is a solid pick, but that the delay in the nomination didn’t sit well with growers. Perdue will need to get up to speed not only on efforts in Congress to finish the budget for the rest of the current fiscal year that ends next October, but the new fiscal year.

Normally, the president submits a budget in February, though it’s expected to be delayed by a few weeks when a new chief executive takes over.

“His challenge is that he’s coming in so late,” Johnson said. “He’s going to face a lot of budget issues on day one.”

President-elect Donald Trump said in a statement Thursday that Perdue will accomplish "great things," touting his farming background.

“From growing up on a farm to being governor of a big agriculture state, he has spent his whole life understanding and solving the challenges our farmers face, and he is going to deliver big results for all Americans who earn their living off the land,” Trump said in the statement.

While Perdue is one of the less-controversial picks by the president-elect, he’s already facing criticism from environmental groups. The Union of Concerned Scientists said it will favor only the biggest farms and the Washington Examiner faulted his efforts to provide state grants to a failed biofuels company that planned to make ethanol from wood chips.

Still, he’s a much more agreeable choice than some of the nominees put forth for confirmation by Trump.

“Everything I’ve read, he seems to be a pretty moderate, middle-of-the-road, consensus candidate,” Johnson told Agriculture.com.

The National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) and American Soybean Association (ASA) each issued statements congratulating the former governor on his nomination. The NCGA said it looks forward to hearing more from Perdue on his positions about key issues facing growers, while the ASA said it looks forward to working with the new administrator once he’s confirmed.

Senator Charles Grassley [R-IA] also looks forward to meeting with Perdue and learning his views on agriculture.

“The secretary of agriculture oversees a broad swath of very important American policy that helps feed and fuel the world,” Grassley said in a statement. “Understanding and having an appreciation of the institution of the family farm like we have in Iowa and the Midwest, which is the strength of American agriculture, is important.

This is especially true as we think about policies that will enable the next generation of farmers to make a living producing the food and renewable fuels the world needs.”

source: successful farming

Rice Production: Sokoto sells 5000 water pumps to farmers at subsidized rate

As parts of efforts to boost rice production in Sokoto State, the state government said it has commenced the sale of 5000 water pumps worth N235 million to rice farmers in the state at subsidized prices.

This revelation was made yesterday in Sokoto by the Chairman of the State Committee on Immediate Framework on Agriculture, Alhaji Chiso Abdullahi at a town hall meeting on the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s Anchor Borrowers Programme for the 2017 dry season rice farming in the state.
 
According to Chiso, the pumps that were purchased at N47,000 each, would be sold to the farmers at N10,000 each adding that that no fewer than 30,000 rice farmers the state  would benefit from the scheme.
 
The chairman, who is also a former deputy governor of the state, commended the state government and CBN for their commitment to the scheme, expressing confidence that the programme would boost food security in the state.
 
“Their gesture under the programme will really boost food security, curb poverty, unemployment and restiveness.” he said
 
Also speaking at the event, the CBN Branch Controller in the state, Mohammed Idris, noted that the aim of the meeting was to appraise the progress and challenges facing the programme.
 
Mohammed however assured that scheme will ensure that only genuine farmers directly benefit from the initiative.

Ebonyi Lawmaker Trains 50 Youths on Fish Production

The member Representing  Ohaozara/Onicha/Ivo Federal constituency, Hon Linus Okorie as part of his determined effort to ride the constituency of social vices and empower the teeming youths of the constituency, yesterday commenced the training of 50 youths on fish production.

The youths are being trained by the Federal School of Fisheries and Marine Technology Lagos.
Hon Okorie. Who is also the Chairman House committee on Agricultural Colleges and Institutions said the youths are to receive training on how to rear consumable fish and also on how to produce different types of feeds.

Declaring the training open, Hon Okorie said the training was meant to enable them apply the knowledge in creating wealth for themselves.

He said, “the country is changing and people need to eat. The country should produce what it eats and eat what it produces. Importation of fish is telling on the economy and now the government says we must feed ourselves.

“Even if we have all the food, we still need the safest protein which is fish. Since we produce considerable quantity of food in Ebonyi state, we are going to complement it with fish production so that we can attain self sufficiency.”

He urged the trainees to share the knowledge from the training with others so that the state could boast of having enough fish farmers.

“Our plan is not just to train you but to imbibe in you so that you become masters in fish production, because we have plans for food chain that includes marketing of the products.

“We need to build local capacity on fish production, it will be followed with fish driers and we will create value chain which will bring about jobs for hundreds in fish business,” said Okorie.

He urged them to ensure they form themselves into cooperative groups, which he said will give them additional support such as loan facilities for greater fish production.

The Chief trainer, Dr. Chuks Onuoha from the Federal school of fisheries, urged the participants to adequately utilize the learning and support facilities that will be given to them after the training, noting that after the training they would the potential of making good leaving from the business.