Below are technologies related to agricultural and natural
manufacturing under four key areas of accelerating change: Sensors,
Food, Automation and Engineering.
Sensors help agriculture by enabling real-time traceability and diagnosis of crop, livestock and farm machine states.
Food may benefit directly from genetic tailoring and potentially from producing meat directly in a lab.
Automation will help agriculture via large-scale robotic and microrobots to check and maintain crops at the plant level.
Engineering involves technologies that extend the reach of
agriculture to new means, new places and new areas of the economy. Of
particular interest will be synthetic biology, which allows efficiently
reprogramming unicellular life to make fuels, byproducts accessible from
organic chemistry and smart devices.
We
have included predictions based on consultation with experts of when
each technology will be scientifically viable (the kind of stuff that
Google, governments, and universities develop), mainstream (when VCs and
startups widely invest in it), and financially viable (when the
technology is generally available on Kickstarter).
Sensors
Air & soil sensors: Fundamental additions to the
automated farm, these sensors would enable a real time understanding of
current farm, forest or body of water conditions.
Scientifically viable in 2013; mainstream and financially viable in 2015.
Equipment telematics: Allows mechanical devices such
as tractors to warn mechanics that a failure is likely to occur soon.
Intra-tractor communication can be used as a rudimentary "farm swarm"
platform.
Scientifically viable in 2013; mainstream in 2016; and financially viable in 2017.
Livestock biometrics: Collars with GPS, RFID and biometrics can automatically identify and relay vital information about the livestock in real time.
Scientifically viable in 2017; mainstream and financially viable in 2020.
Crop sensors: Instead of prescribing field
fertilization before application, high-resolution crop sensors inform
application equipment of correct amounts needed. Optical sensors or
drones are able to identify crop health across the field (for example,
by using infra-red light).
Scientifically viable in 2015; mainstream in 2018; and financially viable in 2019.
Infrastructural health sensors: Can be used for
monitoring vibrations and material conditions in buildings, bridges,
factories, farms and other infrastructure. Coupled with an intelligent
network, such sensors could feed crucial information back to maintenance
crews or robots.
Scientifically viable in 2021; mainstream in 2025; and financially viable in 2027.
Genetically designed food: The creation of entirely
new strains of food animals and plants in order to better address
biological and physiological needs. A departure from genetically
modified food, genetically designed food would be engineered from the
ground up.
Scientifically viable in 2016; mainstream in 2021; and financially viable in 2022.
In vitro meat: Also known as cultured meat or
tubesteak, it is a flesh product that has never been part of a complete,
living animal. Several current research projects are growing in vitro
meat experimentally, although no meat has yet been produced for public
consumption.
Scientifically viable in 2017; mainstream in 2024; and financially viable in 2027.
Automation
Variable rate swath control: Building on existing
geolocation technologies, future swath control could save on seed,
minerals, fertilizer and herbicides by reducing overlapping inputs. By
pre-computing the shape of the field where the inputs are to be used,
and by understanding the relative productivity of different areas of the
field, tractors or agbots can procedurally apply inputs at variable
rates throughout the field.
Scientifically viable in 2013; mainstream in 2014; and financially viable in 2016.
Rapid iteration selective breeding: The next
generation of selective breeding where the end-result is analyzed
quantitatively and improvements are suggested algorithmically.
Scientifically viable in 2014; mainstream and financially viable in 2017.
Agricultural robots: Also known as agbots, these are
used to automate agricultural processes, such as harvesting, fruit
picking, ploughing, soil maintenance, weeding, planting, irrigation,
etc.
Scientifically viable in 2018; mainstream in 2020; and financially viable in 2021.
Precision agriculture: Farming management based on
observing (and responding to) intra-field variations. With satellite
imagery and advanced sensors, farmers can optimize returns on inputs
while preserving resources at ever larger scales. Further understanding
of crop variability, geolocated weather data and precise sensors should
allow improved automated decision-making and complementary planting
techniques.
Scientifically viable in 2019; mainstream in 2023; and financially viable in 2024.
Robotic farm swarms: The hypothetical combination of
dozens or hundreds of agricultural robots with thousands of microscopic
sensors, which together would monitor, predict, cultivate and extract
crops from the land with practically no human intervention. Small-scale
implementations are already on the horizon.
Scientifically viable in 2023; mainstream and financially viable in 2026.
Engineering
Closed ecological systems: Ecosystems that do not
rely on matter exchange outside the system. Such closed ecosystems would
theoretically transform waste products into oxygen, food and water in
order to support life-forms inhabiting the system. Such systems already
exist in small scales, but existing technological limitations prevent
them from scaling.
Scientifically viable in 2015; mainstream in 2020; and financially viable in 2021.
Synthetic biology: Synthetic biology is about
programming biology using standardized parts as one programs computers
using standardized libraries today. Includes the broad redefinition and
expansion of biotechnology, with the ultimate goals of being able to
design, build and remediate engineered biological systems that process
information, manipulate chemicals, fabricate materials and structures,
produce energy, provide food, and maintain and enhance human health and
our environment.
Scientifically viable in 2013; mainstream in 2023; and financially viable in 2024.
Vertical farming:
A natural extension of urban agriculture, vertical farms would
cultivate plant or animal life within dedicated or mixed-use skyscrapers
in urban settings. Using techniques similar to glass houses, vertical
farms could augment natural light using energy-efficient lighting. The
advantages are numerous, including year-round crop production,
protection from weather, support urban food autonomy and reduced
transport costs.
Scientifically viable in 2023; mainstream and financially viable in 2027.
Source: BUSINESS INSIDER